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12 Mar 2015
Key events coming up - Rabobank
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at Rabobank broke down the key events coming up in the day ahead.
Key Quotes:
"Data-wise, in India we have CPI and industrial production, the former seen edging up to 5.2% YoY."
"We also see the January UK trade report (expected to show a marginal improvement from the previous huge deficit – but not for long given what EUR is doing). However, the highlight is US retail sales. The expectation is a 0.3% MoM on the back of a shocking -0.8% print in January; ex-autos the view is a 0.5% rise. To say that those numbers can move markets today is an understatement."
"Despite a shift in market expectations that the Fed may move as soon as June, the balance of data – payrolls aside – have been patchy. In particular, there has been a surprising failure on the part of US consumers to go out and spend the windfall that they have received from lower oil prices."
"Should there be a repetition of that message today there is likely room for profit taking on long USD trades; however, if we see a strong ‘catch-up’ retail print above expectations then its other currencies that will be on the ropes. Either way, FX volatility is likely to remain high."
Key Quotes:
"Data-wise, in India we have CPI and industrial production, the former seen edging up to 5.2% YoY."
"We also see the January UK trade report (expected to show a marginal improvement from the previous huge deficit – but not for long given what EUR is doing). However, the highlight is US retail sales. The expectation is a 0.3% MoM on the back of a shocking -0.8% print in January; ex-autos the view is a 0.5% rise. To say that those numbers can move markets today is an understatement."
"Despite a shift in market expectations that the Fed may move as soon as June, the balance of data – payrolls aside – have been patchy. In particular, there has been a surprising failure on the part of US consumers to go out and spend the windfall that they have received from lower oil prices."
"Should there be a repetition of that message today there is likely room for profit taking on long USD trades; however, if we see a strong ‘catch-up’ retail print above expectations then its other currencies that will be on the ropes. Either way, FX volatility is likely to remain high."