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Corrective rally in EM currencies continues

FXStreet (Mumbai) - Emerging Market (EM) currencies advanced on Thursday and have strengthened further today after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as widely expected.

The USD/INR is down 0.1%,while the USD/ZAR is down 0.60%. The Malaysian Ringgit is also up 0.70% against the USD.

EM currencies, especially of the nation’s running trade deficit and having USD indebtedness, came under pressure in anticipation of a US interest rate rise throughout this year.

The corrective rally witnessed yesterday and today appears to be a part of the “buy the rumor, sell the fact” trade. However, the Fed has signaled four more rate hikes in 2015 (which markets did not anticipate) and thus the sell the fact trade may not last long enough.

Stick with the USD trend - BNPP

Research Team at BNP Paribas, believes that the volatile price action in the first half of December has flushed out speculative USD longs and left positioning fairly clean for longer-term market participants keen to build USD positions for the new year.
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JPY: Yen rebounds as BOJ actions highlights policy constraints - MUFG

Derek Halpenny, European Head of GMR at MUFG, suggests that the USD/JPY surged to an intra-day high of 123.56 in the immediate aftermath of the BOJ announced policy changes but the rebound of the yen since then reflects the fact that the steps taken by the BOJ were more technical in nature and indeed were taken in order to ensure the continued extent of monetary easing is maintained.
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